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Labour Holds 12,000 Vote Lead In Latest Vincent Marmarà Survey

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Vincent Marmarà’s latest October 2024 poll reveals that the Labour Party maintains a narrow lead of 12,000 votes over the Nationalist Party.

However, the party is still projected to fall short of securing an absolute majority, pointing to a potential shift in Malta’s political dynamics.

Labour Holds Slim Lead

The poll results showed the Labour Party with 48.3% of the vote, just ahead of the Nationalist Party, which garnered 44.1%.

This gap translates into approximately 12,000 votes in Labour’s favour.

Despite this lead, it is far from the commanding majority the party enjoyed in previous years. These figures suggest a reduction in Labour’s dominance compared to past elections, where they often secured more significant margins.

Source: vincentmarmara.com

Source: vincentmarmara.com

Smaller Parties Gaining Traction

Smaller parties continue to attract a stable, though still minor, portion of the electorate. The survey showed that 7.6% of voters are willing to support alternatives such as ADPD, Volt or independent candidates.

Leadership Preference

Beyond party support, leadership preferences revealed an important dimension in Malta’s political landscape.

According to the poll, Prime Minister Robert Abela holds a 12.0% trust advantage over Nationalist Party leader Bernard Grech.

When respondents were asked, “Which political leader do you prefer as Prime Minister of Malta?”, 36% of voters selected Robert Abela, while 24% favoured Bernard Grech.

Source: vincentmarmara.com

Source: vincentmarmara.com

Undecided Voters

Marmarà also pointed out that there is a significant number of voters who are leaning towards not voting at all.

The Labour Party appeared to have more disengaged supporters than the Nationalist Party, which has led to a substantial narrowing of the gap between the two parties.

Instead of shifting their support to the Nationalist Party, these voters are opting for abstention, reflecting a deeper disillusionment with the political process.

Many of these individuals have lost interest in politics or feel that neither party is addressing their concerns or meeting their expectations.

Do you agree with Marmara’s survey?

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