2. Labour is Sending Two Cheques to Households

In a move reminiscent of the last general election, the government is timing cheque distributions to coincide with the elections. This tactic, which is legally questionable, effectively turns the election into a sham. Instead of scaling back, Abela is doubling down, sending out two cheques instead of one. This blatant abuse of incumbency powers works to Labour’s advantage.

3. Gerrymandering Tactics

Labour has been accused of manipulating voter distributions to maintain strategic advantages in certain localities. While the PN has identified and challenged one such abuse, it’s unclear how many more exist. Labour’s willingness to bend the rules to remain dominant poses a significant challenge to fair elections.

4. Corruption Cases Weigh Down PN

Over the past decade, the PN has frequently been criticised for focusing excessively on corruption rather than presenting a clear alternative vision. With yet another major scandal emerging just before the election, the PN is forced to concentrate on corruption, overshadowing its other messages and making it appear vengeful rather than visionary.

5. Compromised Voters Lean Labour

Individuals who have benefited from Labour’s questionable deals over the past 11 years fear the consequences of a potential PN victory. These voters, who might not openly admit their allegiance, will likely support Labour to protect their interests. This covert support ensures Labour retains a strong voter base.

6. The Passive People Who Want Reform

While a silent majority likely desires change, they have yet to mobilise or recognise the PN as their vehicle for change. Many choose to remain passive and disillusioned until they see a significant enough move to make them vote for the Malta they want.

7. Superior Funding and Organisation

Labour’s campaign is highly visible and well-funded, starkly contrasting with the PN’s barely noticeable efforts. Labour benefits from significantly more resources and receives additional support through freebies. As a result, Labour’s campaign messages are widespread and well-known, whereas the PN struggles to gain similar visibility.

8. Independent Candidates Split the Vote

Nationalist voters are more inclined to support independent candidates or split their votes compared to Labour voters, further diluting the PN’s overall support base. This fragmentation weakens the PN’s chances of securing a decisive victory.

Despite scandals and controversies, Labour’s strategic manoeuvres, resource advantages, and unified front will likely secure them another big win in the upcoming MEP elections.

Chris Peregin is the founder and former CEO of Lovin Malta and a former campaign manager of the Nationalist Party