The Odds Are Out: Will Labour Or PN Win More Seats At This Month’s European Parliament Election?
Fancy making this European Parliament election campaign a touch more exciting?
Local iGaming company Yobetit is accepting online bets on whether Labour or the Nationalist Party will win the majority of Malta’s six coveted seats in Strasbourg or whether the two parties will share the spoils once more.
Prime Minister Joseph Muscat is pitching himself as the underdog, but the odds don’t lie. The Labour Party is the runaway favourite to win the majority of seats, at odds of 1.2, meaning a €100 bet will give you a return of €120.
The odds of both PL and PN winning three seats again are at 4.5, while the odds of PN winning a majority of seats for the first time are at a distant 1/11, meaning a brave pundit who bets €100 could reap a €1,100 reward.
According to a survey by MaltaToday on 5th May, the PL stands to win 44.1% of the vote while the PN will only win 29%. The percentage of undecided voters dropped from 17.3% in the previous month to 12.4% before rising again to 18.6% last Sunday.
Six MEPs will be elected to represent Malta at the European Parliament
While the survey explains why the odds are in the PL’s favour, the European Parliament elections are a funny game and vote transfers are critical in determining which party will get most seats.
Indeed, both PL and PN won three seats each last time round, despite PL winning by 34,000 votes.
Malta is renowned for having a very high turnout at the European Parliament election, with 74.8% of citizens turning out to vote in 2014, more than in any other EU member state, save Belgium and Luxembourg.
According to the electoral register, 351,483 Maltese people aged 16 and over, as well as 18,160 EU nationals, are eligible to vote this month.
Will Labour and the Nationalists share the number of seats again this year? Head to Yobetit.com to place your prediction!
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